Dr. Arya Budi

Biography

Arya Budi leads ASPIRASI Research & Consulting as Director (CEO), with an interdisciplinary, cross-generational team spanning political science, statistics and communication. He earned his doctorate in political science from the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, with a dissertation on the origins of affective attachment towards political leaders.

His research focuses on voter behaviour, political parties and elections, including economic voting, religious identity, party candidate selection and turnout. His work appears in the Asian Journal of Political Science, the Asian Journal of Comparative Politics, Statistics, Politics and Policy, the Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research and the Muslim Politics Review.

Since 2012 he has led national survey, quick count and exit poll research, including as Research Manager and later Director of Research at a national polling institute. He is a widely cited political analyst in national media and has written for The Jakarta Post, Kompas and other outlets.

His doctoral research was supported by, among others, a COMPOSE Fellowship (Universitas Islam Internasional Indonesia, 2023), a CEAPS Dissertation Research Grant from the University of Illinois (2023), an AICEF Dissertation Travel Grant (2023) and an APSA Annual Meeting Travel Grant (2024). He is also an academic at Universitas Gadjah Mada.

Publications 18 works

2025
Dissertation
All the President’s People? The Origins of Affective Attachment towards Political Leaders
A. Budi · University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
2025
Journal
Estimating Crowd: Electoral Adjustment and Spatial Effects of Turnout During the Covid-19 Pandemic
A. Budi · Statistics, Politics and Policy 16(2), 147–177
2024
Journal
How Should Individual-Level Economic Voting Studies Measure Perceptions? A Meta-Analysis
A. Budi · Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research 12(4), 214–242
2023
Journal
Does Religious Identity Moderate Economic Voting? Evidence from Indonesia
A. Budi · Muslim Politics Review 3(1), 4–43
2023
Op-Ed
The Myth of Public Satisfaction
A. Budi · Kompas
2022
Journal
Obedient Liberals? Mass Attitudes in a Monarchy Enclave
A. Budi · Asian Journal of Comparative Politics 8(1), 442–462
2021
Journal
Partisanship in Crisis: Public Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic in Indonesia
A. Budi, W. A. Pamungkas · Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik 24(1), 15–32
2020
Journal
Less Democracy, More Centralism: The Selection of Candidates by Golkar and PDIP in Indonesian Subnational Executive Elections, 2005–2020
A. Budi · Asian Journal of Political Science 28(3), 236–255
2020
Book Chapter
Administration Distancing?
A. Budi, I. N. Anshari · Pemerintah Daerah dalam Pandemi Covid-19
2019
Op-Ed
Pollsters in Election: Views from Behind the Screen
A. Budi · The Jakarta Post
2018
Book Chapter
Kampanye Padat Modal oleh Calon Perseorangan: Studi Kasus Pilkada Kota Madiun 2018
A. Budi, M. Sukmajati, W. Prasetyo · Pembiayaan Pemilu di Indonesia (Bawaslu RI), 163–184
2018
Report
Pembiayaan Pemilu di Indonesia
A. Budi, A. Minan, A. Perdana, H. Berniawan · Badan Pengawas Pemilihan Umum RI
2018
Report
Pola Surat Suara Tidak Sah pada Pemilihan Walikota Yogyakarta 2017
D. Rahmawati, A. Budi · PolGov, Departemen Politik dan Pemerintahan UGM
2016
Op-Ed
Golkar Party and the Survival of Oligarchy
A. Budi · The Jakarta Post
2016
Conference
The Age of Personalized Parties: Survival and Revival of Party Personalization in the Philippines and Indonesia
A. Budi · International Conference on Ethics in Governance (ICONEG 2016), 147–152
2013
Journal
Membongkar Veto Player dalam Politik Kepartaian Indonesia Menuju Pemilu 2014
A. Budi · Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik 17(1), 51–66
2012
Report
Partai Aceh: Transformasi GAM?
A. Budi · PolGov UGM
2011
Thesis
Partai Aceh: Sebuah Genealogi dan Transformasi
A. Budi · Universitas Gadjah Mada

Publications 18 works

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